Manchester City vs Grimsby Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
17.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1934 |
ARS
4 - 0
MAC
74%
14%
11%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1934 |
EVE
1 - 2
MAC
63%
19%
18%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1934 |
MAC
0 - 0
HUR
59%
20%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1934 |
SUN
3 - 2
MAC
61%
20%
19%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1934 |
MAC
3 - 1
TOT
68%
18%
15%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1934 |
GRI
3 - 1
STO
56%
21%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1934 |
BIR
3 - 2
GRI
45%
24%
31%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1934 |
GRI
2 - 2
ARS
43%
24%
34%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1934 |
BBU
2 - 2
GRI
60%
19%
20%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1934 |
GRI
3 - 2
LEE
55%
21%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |