Manchester City vs Grimsby Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.1%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.7%
9.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1930 |
MID
1 - 0
MAC
48%
22%
30%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1930 |
MAC
4 - 3
LIV
68%
17%
15%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1930 |
MAC
5 - 2
OPA
73%
16%
12%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 1930 |
WHU
3 - 0
MAC
53%
21%
26%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1930 |
MAC
0 - 1
MUD
72%
16%
12%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1930 |
GRI
1 - 2
LEE
43%
23%
35%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1930 |
MID
1 - 5
GRI
71%
16%
13%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 1930 |
GRI
1 - 1
ARS
39%
23%
38%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1930 |
GRI
2 - 2
MUD
42%
23%
35%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1930 |
WHU
2 - 0
GRI
72%
15%
13%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |