Manchester City vs Fulham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
15%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1952 |
CHA
0 - 0
MAC
61%
20%
19%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1952 |
MAC
0 - 1
BUR
54%
23%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1952 |
PNE
1 - 1
MAC
59%
20%
21%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1952 |
MAC
1 - 1
TOT
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1952 |
MAC
0 - 0
BPO
50%
23%
27%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1952 |
FUL
0 - 0
ARS
38%
25%
37%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1952 |
BPO
4 - 2
FUL
69%
18%
13%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1952 |
FUL
1 - 1
LIV
47%
24%
29%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1952 |
OPA
4 - 0
FUL
77%
14%
9%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 1952 |
FUL
1 - 1
NEW
29%
24%
47%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |