Manchester City vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1979 |
MAC
3 - 1
WOL
69%
19%
13%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1979 |
WBA
4 - 0
MAC
61%
22%
17%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1979 |
IPS
2 - 1
MAC
51%
25%
24%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1979 |
WOL
1 - 1
MAC
40%
27%
33%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1979 |
ARS
1 - 1
MAC
57%
24%
19%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1979 |
EVE
3 - 3
COV
66%
20%
14%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1979 |
WBA
1 - 0
EVE
56%
23%
21%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1979 |
BOL
3 - 1
EVE
33%
27%
40%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1979 |
EVE
2 - 2
NOR
68%
19%
13%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1979 |
DER
0 - 0
EVE
40%
26%
34%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |