Manchester City vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
23.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1975 |
STO
4 - 0
MAC
54%
24%
22%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1975 |
MAC
5 - 1
NEW
55%
24%
21%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1975 |
SHE
1 - 1
MAC
48%
25%
27%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1974 |
MAC
1 - 2
DER
49%
26%
25%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1974 |
LIV
4 - 1
MAC
64%
21%
15%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1975 |
EVE
1 - 0
TOT
50%
26%
25%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1975 |
BIR
0 - 3
EVE
52%
24%
24%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 1975 |
EVE
3 - 0
LEI
61%
23%
16%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1974 |
EVE
1 - 1
MID
56%
24%
21%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1974 |
WOL
2 - 0
EVE
60%
22%
18%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |