Manchester City vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
22.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1971 |
WBA
0 - 2
MAC
49%
26%
25%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1971 |
MAC
3 - 0
SOU
57%
24%
19%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1971 |
NTT
2 - 2
MAC
41%
29%
31%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1971 |
MAC
2 - 1
NEW
57%
25%
18%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1971 |
LEI
0 - 0
MAC
37%
30%
34%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1971 |
EVE
1 - 2
COV
59%
24%
17%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1971 |
CRY
2 - 1
EVE
29%
28%
43%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1971 |
EVE
2 - 1
ARS
37%
29%
34%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1971 |
WOL
1 - 1
EVE
50%
25%
24%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1971 |
EVE
0 - 2
DER
54%
26%
20%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | -1 |