Manchester City vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
25.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1961 |
MAC
2 - 1
BOL
61%
20%
19%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1961 |
ARS
3 - 0
MAC
55%
20%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1961 |
EVE
0 - 2
MAC
54%
20%
26%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 1961 |
MAC
1 - 3
BUR
45%
22%
33%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1961 |
MAC
2 - 1
FUL
58%
20%
22%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1961 |
EVE
5 - 2
IPS
59%
20%
22%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1961 |
LEI
2 - 0
EVE
60%
19%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1961 |
EVE
0 - 2
MAC
54%
20%
26%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1961 |
EVE
0 - 4
SHW
47%
23%
30%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1961 |
EVE
3 - 1
WBA
55%
22%
24%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |