Manchester City vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
28.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1961 |
MAC
1 - 3
MUD
40%
22%
39%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1961 |
MAC
0 - 1
TOT
34%
23%
43%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1961 |
MAC
3 - 0
WBA
51%
22%
27%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1961 |
CAR
3 - 3
MAC
46%
22%
33%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1961 |
MAC
3 - 3
NEW
52%
20%
28%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1961 |
EVE
1 - 0
FUL
59%
20%
22%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1961 |
PNE
1 - 0
EVE
47%
22%
31%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1961 |
EVE
1 - 1
CHL
59%
20%
21%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1961 |
STF
2 - 1
EVE
19%
19%
62%
|
81 | 55 | 26 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1961 |
WHU
4 - 0
EVE
55%
20%
25%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |