Manchester City vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.9%
20%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1959 |
EVE
2 - 1
MAC
50%
21%
29%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1959 |
NTT
1 - 2
MAC
47%
22%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 1959 |
MAC
3 - 3
LEE
67%
18%
16%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1959 |
BIR
4 - 2
MAC
58%
19%
23%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1959 |
MAC
3 - 4
NEW
56%
20%
24%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1959 |
EVE
2 - 1
MAC
50%
21%
29%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1959 |
LUT
2 - 1
EVE
47%
23%
30%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1959 |
EVE
2 - 2
WBA
44%
23%
33%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1959 |
PNE
0 - 0
EVE
70%
16%
14%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1959 |
EVE
2 - 1
MUD
33%
22%
45%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | +1 |