Manchester City vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
15.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1957 |
MAC
0 - 2
PNE
52%
21%
27%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1957 |
OPA
0 - 1
MAC
54%
21%
25%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1957 |
MAC
2 - 1
WBA
58%
20%
22%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1957 |
MAC
2 - 3
ARS
54%
21%
26%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1957 |
MAC
4 - 1
CAR
70%
17%
13%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1957 |
EVE
0 - 0
CAR
60%
21%
19%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1957 |
SHW
2 - 2
EVE
64%
18%
18%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1957 |
EVE
2 - 1
NEW
45%
23%
32%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1957 |
OPA
3 - 2
EVE
63%
19%
18%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1957 |
EVE
0 - 1
WBA
46%
23%
32%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |