Manchester City vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
16.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
03 Mar. 1956 |
MAC
2 - 1
EVE
69%
17%
15%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
25 Feb. 1956 |
PNE
0 - 3
MAC
58%
20%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
11 Feb. 1956 |
MAC
2 - 2
CHL
55%
21%
24%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
04 Feb. 1956 |
BPO
0 - 1
MAC
60%
20%
20%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
21 Jan. 1956 |
MAC
1 - 0
HUR
62%
19%
19%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
03 Mar. 1956 |
MAC
2 - 1
EVE
69%
17%
15%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
25 Feb. 1956 |
EVE
1 - 0
BOL
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
21 Feb. 1956 |
ARS
3 - 2
EVE
64%
19%
17%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
11 Feb. 1956 |
EVE
0 - 0
NEW
43%
22%
34%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
04 Feb. 1956 |
EVE
0 - 2
OPA
46%
22%
32%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |