Manchester City vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
20.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1954 |
MAC
3 - 2
MUD
40%
23%
36%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1954 |
CAR
3 - 0
MAC
47%
24%
29%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1954 |
ARS
2 - 3
MAC
74%
14%
11%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1954 |
MAC
1 - 1
CHL
55%
22%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1954 |
MAC
2 - 1
ARS
46%
23%
32%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1954 |
EVE
1 - 1
CAR
56%
23%
22%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1954 |
CHL
0 - 2
EVE
61%
20%
20%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1954 |
WBA
3 - 3
EVE
69%
17%
14%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1954 |
EVE
2 - 2
LEI
58%
21%
22%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1954 |
EVE
1 - 2
WBA
38%
24%
39%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |