Manchester City vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
23.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1949 |
MUD
2 - 1
MAC
73%
16%
11%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1949 |
MAC
1 - 0
OPA
43%
24%
32%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1949 |
CHA
3 - 1
MAC
57%
21%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1949 |
OPA
1 - 1
MAC
67%
18%
14%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1949 |
MAC
3 - 3
ASV
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1949 |
EVE
3 - 0
HUR
64%
19%
17%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1949 |
NEW
4 - 0
EVE
57%
21%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1949 |
EVE
0 - 0
LIV
54%
22%
24%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1949 |
EVE
2 - 1
NEW
55%
22%
23%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1949 |
MID
0 - 1
EVE
59%
21%
20%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |