Manchester City vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
11.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1930 |
DER
4 - 2
MAC
58%
20%
22%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1930 |
BOL
1 - 2
MAC
54%
22%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 1930 |
MAC
2 - 2
SUN
71%
16%
13%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1930 |
MAC
3 - 3
SHW
64%
18%
18%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1929 |
BUR
4 - 2
MAC
54%
21%
26%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1930 |
EVE
1 - 1
OPA
63%
20%
18%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1930 |
EVE
4 - 0
DER
52%
22%
26%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 1930 |
EVE
3 - 3
LIV
51%
22%
27%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1929 |
BOL
5 - 0
EVE
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1929 |
SHW
4 - 0
EVE
68%
18%
14%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |