Manchester City vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.8%
23.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1929 |
HUR
2 - 2
MAC
64%
19%
17%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1929 |
MUD
1 - 2
MAC
46%
23%
31%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1928 |
MAC
2 - 3
BIR
64%
18%
18%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1928 |
MAC
2 - 2
SHW
58%
20%
22%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1928 |
SHW
4 - 0
MAC
58%
20%
22%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1929 |
EVE
0 - 2
BIR
64%
19%
17%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1929 |
OPA
3 - 0
EVE
38%
24%
38%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1929 |
EVE
4 - 0
DER
62%
20%
18%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 1928 |
EVE
3 - 0
BOL
58%
21%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1928 |
EVE
0 - 0
SUN
58%
21%
22%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |