Manchester City vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
19.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1925 |
MAC
1 - 1
MUD
70%
18%
13%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1925 |
TOT
1 - 0
MAC
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1925 |
BIR
1 - 0
MAC
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1925 |
MAC
3 - 2
CAR
57%
22%
21%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1925 |
MAC
1 - 0
TOT
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1925 |
EVE
4 - 0
WBA
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1925 |
EVE
1 - 1
TOT
54%
24%
23%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1925 |
EVE
2 - 2
BIR
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1925 |
CAR
2 - 1
EVE
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1925 |
WBA
1 - 1
EVE
59%
21%
19%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |