Manchester City vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
15%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1921 |
BOL
5 - 0
MAC
59%
22%
19%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1921 |
MAC
2 - 3
BOL
56%
22%
22%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1921 |
WBA
2 - 0
MAC
45%
27%
29%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1921 |
MAC
6 - 1
WBA
62%
21%
17%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1921 |
MAC
1 - 1
CAR
80%
13%
7%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1921 |
WBA
1 - 1
EVE
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1921 |
EVE
1 - 2
WBA
58%
22%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1921 |
EVE
0 - 1
CAR
79%
13%
8%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1921 |
CAR
2 - 1
EVE
37%
26%
37%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1921 |
LIV
1 - 1
EVE
65%
20%
15%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |