Manchester City vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
20.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1921 |
TOT
2 - 0
MAC
56%
23%
21%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1921 |
EVE
3 - 0
MAC
59%
22%
19%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1921 |
MAC
1 - 0
CHL
65%
20%
15%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 1921 |
CHL
2 - 1
MAC
46%
26%
28%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1921 |
MAC
3 - 1
SUN
52%
22%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1921 |
MUD
1 - 2
EVE
48%
25%
27%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1921 |
EVE
3 - 0
MAC
59%
22%
19%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1921 |
EVE
1 - 1
ASV
58%
21%
22%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1921 |
ASV
1 - 3
EVE
67%
18%
15%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 1921 |
EVE
2 - 2
WBA
54%
23%
23%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |