Manchester City vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
19.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1912 |
WBA
0 - 2
MAC
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1912 |
MAC
1 - 0
SUN
51%
23%
26%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1912 |
MAC
1 - 3
BRA
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 1912 |
ARS
0 - 4
MAC
49%
24%
27%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 1912 |
MAC
2 - 0
CHL
67%
18%
15%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1912 |
EVE
2 - 1
BRA
59%
22%
19%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1912 |
ARS
0 - 0
EVE
44%
25%
31%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1912 |
EVE
1 - 0
CHL
72%
16%
12%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 1912 |
OLD
2 - 0
EVE
48%
26%
27%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1912 |
EVE
0 - 6
NEW
49%
24%
27%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |