Manchester City vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
30.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1912 |
MAC
0 - 0
PNE
64%
20%
16%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1912 |
ARS
2 - 0
MAC
62%
20%
17%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1912 |
SHE
6 - 2
MAC
71%
17%
13%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1912 |
BOL
2 - 1
MAC
65%
19%
16%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 1912 |
MAC
1 - 3
OLD
64%
19%
17%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1912 |
SWI
2 - 1
EVE
23%
25%
52%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1912 |
BRA
1 - 0
EVE
49%
26%
25%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1912 |
EVE
1 - 0
BOL
68%
19%
13%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1912 |
OLD
3 - 0
EVE
45%
26%
29%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1912 |
EVE
3 - 2
SHE
64%
21%
15%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |