Manchester City vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
26.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1911 |
OLD
1 - 1
MAC
56%
22%
22%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1911 |
NTT
0 - 0
MAC
58%
21%
22%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1911 |
MAC
0 - 0
BBU
50%
22%
28%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1911 |
BRA
1 - 0
MAC
64%
19%
17%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 1911 |
MAC
1 - 1
ARS
68%
17%
15%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1911 |
BBU
0 - 1
EVE
57%
22%
21%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1911 |
ASV
2 - 1
EVE
75%
15%
10%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1911 |
EVE
0 - 0
BRA
63%
21%
17%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1911 |
ARS
1 - 0
EVE
34%
26%
40%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1911 |
EVE
2 - 2
SUN
54%
22%
23%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |