Manchester City vs Crystal Palace analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
17.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1989 |
CHL
1 - 1
MAC
60%
22%
18%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1989 |
MAC
3 - 1
NOR
44%
25%
32%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 1989 |
MAC
0 - 2
ASV
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1989 |
ARS
4 - 0
MAC
73%
18%
9%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1989 |
MAC
4 - 1
BRE
74%
15%
11%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Crystal Palace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1989 |
NTT
5 - 0
CRY
74%
17%
9%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1989 |
ASV
2 - 1
CRY
59%
22%
19%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1989 |
CRY
0 - 0
NTT
28%
27%
45%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1989 |
CRY
4 - 3
MIL
45%
26%
28%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1989 |
DER
3 - 1
CRY
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |