Manchester City vs Crystal Palace analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.9%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.2%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.5%
15%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
6.1%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1970 |
MAC
2 - 1
WBA
69%
17%
14%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1970 |
ACA
0 - 0
MAC
46%
24%
31%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1970 |
MAC
1 - 0
IPS
70%
19%
12%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1970 |
WOL
1 - 3
MAC
46%
26%
29%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1970 |
MAC
1 - 1
ARS
60%
23%
17%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Crystal Palace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1970 |
LEE
2 - 0
CRY
86%
11%
3%
|
72 | 92 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1970 |
CRY
0 - 2
SHW
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1970 |
MUD
1 - 1
CRY
80%
14%
6%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1970 |
CRY
1 - 2
BUR
43%
25%
33%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1970 |
CRY
1 - 4
CHL
34%
25%
42%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |