Manchester City vs Crystal Palace analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
14.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1965 |
MAC
2 - 3
COV
67%
17%
16%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1965 |
HUR
0 - 0
MAC
43%
26%
32%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1965 |
SOU
0 - 1
MAC
65%
18%
17%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1965 |
MAC
1 - 0
DER
67%
18%
14%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1965 |
CAR
4 - 3
MAC
45%
24%
31%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Crystal Palace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1965 |
CRY
2 - 1
BRI
59%
22%
20%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1965 |
CRY
2 - 0
CHA
51%
24%
26%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1965 |
PNE
2 - 0
CRY
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1965 |
COV
0 - 1
CRY
64%
20%
15%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1965 |
OPA
1 - 1
CRY
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |