Manchester City vs Crewe Alexandra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
8.4%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
NOR
2 - 0
MAC
22%
26%
53%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2001 |
MAC
3 - 0
WAT
67%
20%
13%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2001 |
MAC
1 - 2
CHL
28%
26%
46%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2001 |
IPS
2 - 1
MAC
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2001 |
MAC
1 - 0
WHU
38%
26%
36%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2001 |
YOR
2 - 2
CRE
39%
27%
34%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
CRE
0 - 2
SHW
41%
26%
33%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2001 |
GRI
1 - 0
CRE
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
SHW
0 - 0
CRE
62%
22%
17%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2001 |
CRE
1 - 3
PNE
40%
26%
34%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |