FA Cup 1/16
Global 4-3
Manchester City vs Coventry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
26.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1996 |
EVE
2 - 0
MAC
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1996 |
COV
2 - 2
MAC
49%
24%
27%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1996 |
MAC
2 - 0
QPR
46%
27%
27%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 1996 |
SOU
1 - 1
MAC
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1996 |
MAC
1 - 1
COV
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Coventry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1996 |
COV
1 - 0
CHL
38%
29%
33%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1996 |
COV
2 - 2
MAC
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1996 |
ARS
1 - 1
COV
64%
22%
14%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 1996 |
WHU
3 - 2
COV
52%
25%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 1996 |
MAC
1 - 1
COV
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |