Manchester City vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
56.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
WBA
2 - 1
MAC
37%
26%
38%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
WIG
0 - 2
MAC
21%
26%
54%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2010 |
RBS
0 - 2
MAC
33%
26%
41%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
MAC
1 - 1
BBU
63%
21%
17%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
SUN
1 - 0
MAC
25%
26%
49%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
CHL
3 - 4
NEW
81%
13%
6%
|
95 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
CHL
4 - 0
BPO
89%
9%
3%
|
95 | 74 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2010 |
ZIL
1 - 4
CHL
17%
23%
60%
|
95 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
WHU
1 - 3
CHL
10%
19%
71%
|
95 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
CHL
2 - 0
STO
88%
9%
3%
|
95 | 82 | 13 | 0 |