Manchester City vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
45.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2001 |
IPS
2 - 1
MAC
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2001 |
MAC
1 - 0
WHU
38%
26%
36%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2001 |
MUD
1 - 1
MAC
80%
13%
7%
|
73 | 92 | 19 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
LEI
1 - 2
MAC
63%
21%
16%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2001 |
MAC
0 - 4
ARS
24%
26%
50%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2001 |
LIV
2 - 2
CHL
55%
23%
22%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2001 |
CHL
2 - 1
EVE
69%
18%
12%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2001 |
LEE
2 - 0
CHL
44%
26%
30%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2001 |
CHL
0 - 1
CHA
71%
18%
12%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2001 |
TOT
0 - 3
CHL
38%
26%
36%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |