Manchester City vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
22.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1995 |
NOR
1 - 1
MAC
50%
26%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1995 |
MAC
0 - 0
LEE
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1995 |
MAC
2 - 0
IPS
69%
19%
12%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1995 |
MAC
0 - 3
MUD
24%
25%
51%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1995 |
SOU
2 - 2
MAC
48%
26%
26%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1995 |
CHL
0 - 0
CRY
52%
26%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1995 |
WHU
1 - 2
CHL
41%
28%
31%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1995 |
BRU
1 - 0
CHL
67%
21%
13%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1995 |
CHL
1 - 1
TOT
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1995 |
COV
2 - 2
CHL
37%
30%
34%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |