Manchester City vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.8%
23.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1961 |
SHE
3 - 1
MAC
40%
23%
37%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1961 |
MAC
3 - 5
WHU
55%
20%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1961 |
WOL
4 - 1
MAC
76%
13%
11%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1961 |
MAC
3 - 0
NTT
60%
20%
20%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1961 |
TOT
2 - 0
MAC
79%
12%
9%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1961 |
CHL
1 - 0
BOL
63%
19%
19%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1961 |
ARS
0 - 3
CHL
64%
18%
18%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1961 |
CHL
1 - 1
EVE
52%
21%
27%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1961 |
BIR
3 - 2
CHL
58%
20%
23%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1961 |
CHL
1 - 3
LEI
55%
20%
25%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |