Manchester City vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
24.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1956 |
BPO
0 - 1
MAC
60%
20%
20%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1956 |
MAC
1 - 0
HUR
62%
19%
19%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1956 |
CAR
4 - 1
MAC
45%
23%
32%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 1956 |
MAC
4 - 1
OPA
54%
21%
26%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 1955 |
MUD
2 - 1
MAC
67%
17%
16%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1956 |
CHL
2 - 3
WOL
49%
22%
29%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1956 |
ASV
1 - 4
CHL
50%
22%
28%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1956 |
CHL
2 - 3
SUN
56%
21%
23%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1955 |
OPA
4 - 4
CHL
59%
20%
21%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1955 |
CHL
2 - 1
CAR
66%
19%
15%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |