Manchester City vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
29.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1950 |
MAC
0 - 1
MID
49%
24%
27%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1950 |
BPO
0 - 0
MAC
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1950 |
MAC
1 - 1
NEW
43%
25%
32%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1950 |
FUL
1 - 0
MAC
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 1949 |
MAC
1 - 2
MUD
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1950 |
BUR
1 - 2
CHL
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1950 |
CHL
3 - 0
CHE
82%
11%
7%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1950 |
CHE
1 - 1
CHL
34%
25%
42%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1950 |
CHL
2 - 2
STO
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1950 |
CHL
0 - 0
FUL
68%
18%
14%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |