Manchester City vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
13.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1932 |
ASV
2 - 1
MAC
73%
14%
13%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1932 |
HUR
1 - 0
MAC
53%
22%
26%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1932 |
MAC
0 - 1
LIV
66%
17%
17%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1932 |
BIR
1 - 5
MAC
46%
23%
31%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1932 |
MAC
2 - 1
BIR
69%
17%
14%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1932 |
CHL
4 - 1
NEW
46%
24%
31%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1932 |
CHL
1 - 1
SHE
41%
24%
36%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1932 |
LIV
2 - 1
CHL
66%
18%
16%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1932 |
ARS
1 - 1
CHL
74%
15%
11%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1932 |
CHL
0 - 0
EVE
44%
24%
33%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |