Manchester City vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
11.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1931 |
MID
4 - 1
MAC
54%
21%
25%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1931 |
MAC
1 - 1
LIV
65%
18%
17%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1931 |
GRI
3 - 5
MAC
46%
23%
32%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1931 |
MAC
2 - 0
SHW
55%
20%
25%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 1931 |
OPA
1 - 1
MAC
50%
23%
27%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1931 |
CHL
3 - 2
BBU
35%
24%
41%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1931 |
BPO
2 - 1
CHL
62%
19%
18%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 1931 |
CHL
0 - 3
BIR
48%
23%
29%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1931 |
BIR
2 - 2
CHL
64%
19%
17%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1931 |
SHE
4 - 0
CHL
75%
15%
10%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |