Manchester City vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
16.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1923 |
SUN
2 - 0
MAC
61%
21%
18%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1923 |
LIV
2 - 0
MAC
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1923 |
MAC
1 - 0
LIV
53%
25%
23%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1923 |
MAC
3 - 0
TOT
55%
23%
22%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 1923 |
TOT
3 - 1
MAC
57%
22%
20%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1923 |
ASV
1 - 0
CHL
67%
19%
14%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1923 |
WBA
0 - 0
CHL
56%
24%
21%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1923 |
CAR
6 - 1
CHL
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1923 |
CHL
1 - 1
CAR
49%
27%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1923 |
ARS
3 - 1
CHL
51%
26%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |