Manchester City vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
15.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1921 |
CHL
2 - 1
MAC
46%
26%
28%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1921 |
MAC
3 - 1
SUN
52%
22%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 1920 |
WBA
2 - 2
MAC
60%
22%
18%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1920 |
MAC
4 - 0
WBA
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1920 |
SUN
1 - 0
MAC
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1921 |
CHL
2 - 1
MAC
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1921 |
BRA
0 - 2
CHL
57%
22%
21%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1920 |
LIV
2 - 1
CHL
67%
19%
14%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1920 |
CHL
1 - 1
LIV
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1920 |
CHL
4 - 1
BRA
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |