Manchester City vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
17.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1920 |
BRA
1 - 0
MAC
51%
25%
24%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1920 |
CHL
1 - 0
MAC
51%
25%
24%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1920 |
MAC
2 - 1
LIV
60%
21%
19%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1920 |
BRA
2 - 1
MAC
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1920 |
LIV
1 - 0
MAC
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1920 |
SHW
0 - 2
CHL
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1920 |
CHL
1 - 0
MAC
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1920 |
CHL
2 - 1
ASV
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1920 |
ASV
3 - 1
CHL
76%
14%
10%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1920 |
CHL
1 - 1
SHW
60%
22%
19%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |