Manchester City vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
16.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1914 |
CHL
0 - 0
MAC
53%
25%
22%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1914 |
MAC
2 - 3
BRA
66%
19%
15%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1914 |
EVE
4 - 1
MAC
57%
23%
20%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1914 |
MAC
1 - 1
LIV
63%
20%
17%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1914 |
WBA
0 - 1
MAC
48%
27%
26%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1914 |
CHL
0 - 0
MAC
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1914 |
CHL
2 - 0
EVE
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 1914 |
WBA
2 - 0
CHL
56%
24%
21%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1914 |
CHL
0 - 0
SHW
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1914 |
SUN
2 - 1
CHL
68%
18%
14%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |