Manchester City vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
13.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1908 |
MAC
2 - 0
ASV
49%
23%
28%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1908 |
SHE
4 - 0
MAC
52%
22%
27%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1908 |
MAC
6 - 1
BCF
71%
16%
14%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1908 |
LIV
1 - 3
MAC
63%
19%
18%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1908 |
SHW
3 - 1
MAC
64%
19%
17%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1908 |
BRI
1 - 0
CHL
60%
20%
19%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1908 |
CHL
1 - 2
NEW
45%
25%
31%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1908 |
NOT
3 - 0
CHL
52%
22%
25%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1908 |
CHL
1 - 2
ARS
60%
20%
20%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1908 |
LEI
5 - 2
CHL
41%
25%
34%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | -1 |