Manchester City vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
17.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1908 |
SHE
1 - 2
MAC
53%
23%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1908 |
MAC
2 - 1
MID
73%
15%
11%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1908 |
LIV
0 - 1
MAC
63%
19%
18%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1908 |
MAC
0 - 2
SHE
67%
17%
16%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1908 |
MAC
3 - 2
ASV
55%
22%
24%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1908 |
EVE
0 - 3
CHL
65%
20%
16%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1908 |
BRI
0 - 0
CHL
56%
21%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1908 |
CHL
3 - 1
SHW
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1908 |
ARS
0 - 0
CHL
59%
20%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1908 |
CHL
2 - 1
SUN
63%
19%
18%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |