Manchester City vs Cardiff City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
13.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1957 |
CHL
4 - 2
MAC
52%
22%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1957 |
MAC
1 - 2
NEW
58%
19%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1957 |
SHW
2 - 2
MAC
56%
20%
24%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1957 |
BPO
4 - 1
MAC
63%
19%
19%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 1957 |
ASV
2 - 2
MAC
51%
22%
28%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1957 |
ASV
4 - 1
CAR
66%
19%
15%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1957 |
CAR
3 - 4
BPO
39%
23%
38%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1957 |
CAR
2 - 2
WOL
33%
23%
44%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1957 |
LEE
3 - 0
CAR
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 1957 |
WBA
1 - 2
CAR
60%
22%
19%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |