Manchester City vs Cardiff City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
20.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1925 |
MAC
1 - 0
TOT
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1925 |
BIR
2 - 1
MAC
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1925 |
MAC
4 - 2
LEE
69%
19%
13%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1925 |
MAC
1 - 0
ASV
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1925 |
BUR
1 - 0
MAC
51%
23%
26%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1925 |
CAR
0 - 0
PNE
66%
20%
14%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1925 |
LIV
1 - 2
CAR
57%
23%
20%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1925 |
SHE
1 - 0
CAR
54%
23%
24%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1925 |
HUR
0 - 0
CAR
53%
25%
22%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1925 |
CAR
3 - 0
BBU
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |