Manchester City vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
13.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1998 |
NOR
0 - 0
MAC
42%
28%
30%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1998 |
TRA
0 - 0
MAC
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1998 |
MAC
2 - 2
CHA
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1998 |
MAC
1 - 2
WHU
28%
27%
45%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 1998 |
MAC
0 - 1
SUN
39%
27%
33%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1998 |
BCF
2 - 2
POR
41%
28%
31%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1998 |
CHA
0 - 0
BCF
71%
18%
10%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1998 |
BCF
1 - 3
WOL
30%
28%
42%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1998 |
BCF
0 - 1
STO
30%
28%
42%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1998 |
BCF
1 - 2
SHE
30%
27%
43%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | -1 |