Manchester City vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
14.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1925 |
NEW
2 - 0
MAC
54%
23%
23%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1925 |
MAC
5 - 0
LIV
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1925 |
NTT
0 - 3
MAC
31%
27%
41%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1924 |
WBA
3 - 1
MAC
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Dec. 1924 |
MAC
1 - 2
WBA
61%
21%
17%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1925 |
LIV
4 - 0
BCF
65%
20%
15%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1925 |
BCF
3 - 0
NTT
57%
24%
20%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1925 |
BCF
1 - 0
BOL
39%
27%
34%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 1925 |
BCF
5 - 2
TOT
41%
28%
31%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Dec. 1924 |
TOT
1 - 1
BCF
61%
21%
17%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |