Manchester City vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
16.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1911 |
SHW
3 - 0
MAC
71%
16%
12%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1911 |
MAC
3 - 0
BBU
44%
24%
33%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 1911 |
SUN
1 - 1
MAC
81%
12%
8%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1911 |
MAC
0 - 2
WBA
68%
18%
15%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1911 |
EVE
1 - 0
MAC
75%
15%
10%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1911 |
BCF
3 - 1
ARS
45%
24%
31%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1911 |
BRA
1 - 0
BCF
73%
16%
11%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1911 |
BCF
1 - 3
BOL
54%
23%
23%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1911 |
OLD
2 - 0
BCF
63%
20%
18%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1911 |
NEW
3 - 2
BCF
72%
17%
11%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |