Manchester City vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.8%
Win probability
3.29
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.4%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.4%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.3%
7.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1906 |
SHW
3 - 1
MAC
56%
22%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1906 |
EVE
9 - 1
MAC
61%
20%
19%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1906 |
MAC
1 - 4
ARS
76%
15%
9%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1906 |
BIR
3 - 2
MAC
49%
23%
28%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1906 |
MAC
5 - 1
SUN
69%
17%
14%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1906 |
LIV
2 - 2
BCF
72%
17%
11%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1906 |
DER
2 - 1
BCF
57%
21%
23%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1906 |
BCF
4 - 1
ARS
55%
22%
23%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1906 |
BCF
0 - 0
SHW
46%
23%
31%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1906 |
SUN
0 - 3
BCF
73%
15%
12%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |