Manchester City vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
22%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1968 |
WHU
2 - 1
MAC
62%
20%
18%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1968 |
MAC
5 - 1
WBA
51%
24%
25%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1968 |
NEW
1 - 0
MAC
44%
26%
30%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 1968 |
MAC
0 - 1
SHW
68%
20%
13%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1968 |
CHL
2 - 0
MAC
55%
24%
22%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1968 |
SWI
1 - 2
BUR
30%
23%
48%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1968 |
BUR
0 - 1
ARS
52%
25%
24%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 1968 |
SUN
2 - 0
BUR
41%
25%
34%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1968 |
BUR
1 - 2
SWI
81%
13%
7%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1968 |
BUR
1 - 1
WOL
65%
20%
15%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |