Manchester City vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
40.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1963 |
EVE
2 - 1
MAC
71%
16%
13%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1963 |
MAC
1 - 2
NOR
76%
13%
10%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1963 |
SHW
4 - 1
MAC
61%
20%
20%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1963 |
MAC
2 - 1
BIR
52%
21%
26%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1963 |
LEY
1 - 1
MAC
37%
24%
39%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1963 |
BUR
1 - 3
LIV
68%
17%
14%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1963 |
BPO
0 - 0
BUR
31%
24%
46%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1963 |
BUR
1 - 1
WHU
70%
17%
14%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1963 |
SHE
1 - 0
BUR
28%
24%
48%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1962 |
BUR
4 - 0
SHW
65%
18%
16%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |