Manchester City vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
15.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1956 |
MAC
3 - 1
SHE
62%
19%
20%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1956 |
NEW
3 - 1
MAC
55%
21%
24%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1956 |
MAC
4 - 2
SUN
60%
19%
20%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1956 |
MAC
1 - 1
BIR
65%
19%
17%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1956 |
SUN
0 - 3
MAC
56%
20%
24%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1956 |
BUR
0 - 1
ARS
49%
24%
27%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1956 |
BUR
2 - 1
CHA
50%
23%
28%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1956 |
BOL
0 - 1
BUR
62%
20%
18%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1956 |
CHA
2 - 1
BUR
60%
20%
19%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1956 |
BUR
4 - 0
SUN
47%
23%
29%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |