Manchester City vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
22.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1952 |
PNE
1 - 1
MAC
59%
20%
21%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1952 |
MAC
1 - 1
TOT
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1952 |
MAC
0 - 0
BPO
50%
23%
27%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1952 |
ARS
2 - 2
MAC
77%
14%
10%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1952 |
MUD
1 - 1
MAC
75%
15%
10%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1952 |
BBU
3 - 1
BUR
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1952 |
BUR
0 - 1
ARS
40%
26%
34%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1952 |
BUR
2 - 0
LIV
52%
23%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1952 |
BPO
1 - 0
BUR
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1952 |
BUR
4 - 0
STO
53%
24%
23%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |